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Weather - US

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This working group is focused on discussions about weather events.

The mission of this working group is to focus on discussions about weather events.

Members

Amanda Cole Kathy Gilbeaux mdmcdonald tkm

Email address for group

weather-us@m.resiliencesystem.org

NASA: The US Faces a "Mega-Drought" Not Seen in 1,000 Years

submitted by Albert Gomez

The long and severe drought in the U.S. Southwest pales in comparison with what’s coming: a “megadrought” that will grip that region and the central Plains later this century and probably stay there for decades, a new study says.

Thirty-five years from now, if the current pace of climate change continues unabated, those areas of the country will experience a weather shift that will linger for as long as three decades, according to the study, released Thursday.

Researchers from NASA and Cornell and Columbia universities warned of major water shortages and conditions that dry out vegetation, which can lead to monster wildfires in southern Arizona and parts of California.

(READ COMPLETE ARTICLE)

CLICK HERE - NASA - Study Finds Carbon Emissions Could Dramatically Increase Risk of U.S. Megadroughts

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'Potentially Historic' Storm Headed for Northeast

      

Forecast snowfall accumulation from the Euro model through Wednesday morning. This is just one model forecast. Final snow accumulation depends heavily on the track the storm takes, and how quickly the storm develops. (weatherbell.com)

abc.com - AP - by Verena Dobnik - January 25, 2015

A "potentially historic" storm could dump 2 to 3 feet of snow from northern New Jersey to Connecticut starting Monday, crippling a region that has largely been spared so far this winter, the National Weather Service said.

A blizzard warning was issued for New York and Boston, and the National Weather Service said the massive storm would bring heavy snow and powerful winds starting Monday and into Tuesday.

"This could be a storm the likes of which we have never seen before," New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio at a news conference Sunday.

(READ COMPLETE ARTICLE)

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Northeast Hurricane Modeling Outdated

URI professor of oceanography Isaac Ginis. (Tim Faulkner/ecoRI News)

submitted by Sarah Slaughter

ecori.org - by Tim Faulkner - July 26, 2014

NARRAGANSETT — Hurricanes bound for New England will get about 10 percent more powerful by 2100, but the state lacks the tools to access their impacts, according to University of Rhode Island professor Isaac Ginis.

Hurricanes are powered by warm water, and the predicted increase in ocean temperatures caused by climate change is expected to make hurricane season longer and the storms stronger in the years ahead. .

. . . Numerous studies and models suggest the frequency of category 4 and 5 hurricanes are expected to increase by 81 percent, while the volume of rainfall is expected to increase 20 percent by 2100, Ginis said.

However, a key current modeling method used to measure the impacts of hurricanes and set flood insurance maps is outdated, he said.

(READ COMPLETE ARTICLE)

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Tropical Storm Arthur Could Be Hurricane Soon, Forecasters Say

      

Astronaut Reid Wiseman aboard the International Space Station took a photo of the storm as he passed overhead, noting it "looks mean."

cbsnews.com - July 2, 2014

With the July Fourth weekend on the horizon, the Atlantic hurricane season's first named storm was slowly strengthening off Florida's coast Wednesday. It is expected to be just off the popular tourist destination of The Outer Banks in North Carolina by Friday morning.

(READ COMPLETE ARTICLE)

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Tropical Weather

CLICK ON THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER WIDGET (ABOVE)

ALSO CLICK HERE - THE WEATHER CHANNEL - HURRICANE CENTRAL - UPDATES

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Life-Threatening Flooding Submerges Pensacola, Florida

      

Photo - @TWCBreaking

nbcnews.com - By Alastair Jamieson and M. Alex Johnson - April 30, 2014

Torrential rainfall and “life-threatening" flooding turned deadly in Florida’s panhandle late Tuesday - the latest fallout from a monster weather system that has killed at least 35 people in six states. . .

. . . More than two feet of rain fell in a 26-hour period in Pensacola, Fla. according to one rain gauge, washing away bridges and closing mile after mile of highways across the region, leaving hundreds of drivers stranded for hours. . .

. . . More than five inches fell on Pensacola in the single hour between 9 p.m. and 10 p.m. CT (10 p.m. and 11 p.m. ET) Tuesday, the NWS said.

(READ COMPLETE ARTICLE)

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Sea, Lake, and Overland Surges from Hurricanes (SLOSH)

nhc.noaa.gov

SLOSH Model - Introduction

The Sea, Lake and Overland Surges from Hurricanes (SLOSH) model is a computerized numerical model developed by the National Weather Service (NWS) to estimate storm surge heights resulting from historical, hypothetical, or predicted hurricanes by taking into account the atmospheric pressure, size, forward speed, and track data. These parameters are used to create a model of the wind field which drives the storm surge.

The SLOSH model consists of a set of physics equations which are applied to a specific locale's shoreline, incorporating the unique bay and river configurations, water depths, bridges, roads, levees and other physical features.

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Heat Waves Could Be Predicted Weeks in Advance, Study Finds

      

A pedestrian walks along Vanowen Street in Canoga Park during a heat wave. (Anne Cusack / Los Angeles Times)

latimes.com - by Tony Barboza - October 28, 2013

Scientists have discovered a weather pattern that foreshadows heat waves and could be used to predict them more than two weeks in advance, well beyond the 10-day range of weather forecasts, a new study reports.

Researchers at the National Center for Atmospheric Research wondered if the prolonged and often deadly heat waves that hit the United States and other Northern Hemisphere countries during the summer could be triggered by large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns.

(READ COMPLETE ARTICLE)

CLICK HERE - STUDY - Probability of US heat waves affected by a subseasonal planetary wave pattern

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