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CDC RELEASES ESTIMATES OF EBOLA CASES, COULD REACH 1.4 MILLION

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Tue, 2014-09-23 23:00 — mike kraft

 

New York Times

CDC  releases report on worst and best case estimates for Ebola cases. 

Estimates cover Liberia and Sierra Leone, based on computer modeling. Guinea not included because data  "cannot be reliably modeled."

Best case-model, which assures the dead are buried safely and 70 per cent of the patients are treated in settings that reduce the risk of transmission, suggest the epidemic could almost be ended by Jan. 20.

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/24/health/ebola-cases-could-reach-14-million-in-4-months-cdc-estimates.html?emc=edit_na_20140923&nlid=12644555&_r=0

 

LINK TO THE CDC REPORT TEXT

http://apps.washingtonpost.com/g/page/national/ebola-cases-could-skyrocket-by-2015-says-cdc/1337/

CDC RELEASES ESTIMATES OF EBOLA CASES, COULD REACH 1.4 MILLION
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/su6303a1.htm?s_cid=su6303a1_w

Country / Region Tags: 
Africa
General Topic Tags: 
Contagion
Disaster Response
Disease
Emergency Management
Pandemics
Resilience
Problem, Solution, SitRep, or ?: 
Problem
Situation Report
Groups this Group Post belongs to: 
Health - US
- Private group -

Comments

Tue, 2014-09-23 15:06 — mike kraft

A surge now can break the back of the epidemic," CDC director Dr. Tom Frieden told reporters.

“It is still possible to reverse the epidemic, and we believe this can be done if a sufficient number of all patients are effectively isolated, either in Ebola Treatment Units or in other settings, such as community-based or home care,” he added in a statement.

“Once a sufficient number of Ebola patients are isolated, cases will decline very rapidly — almost as rapidly as they rose.” A surge now can break the back of the epidemic," CDC director Dr. Tom Frieden told reporters.

“It is still possible to reverse the epidemic, and we believe this can be done if a sufficient number of all patients are effectively isolated, either in Ebola Treatment Units or in other settings, such as community-based or home care,” he added in a statement.

“Once a sufficient number of Ebola patients are isolated, cases will decline very rapidly — almost as rapidly as they rose.”

 

http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/ebola-virus-outbreak/every-second-counts-new-ebola-report-predicts-huge-spike-without-n209616

Tue, 2014-09-23 16:15 — Kathy Gilbeaux

(ADDITIONAL RESOURCES)

CLICK HERE - CDC - Estimating the Future Number of Cases in the Ebola Epidemic - Liberia and Sierra Leone, 2014–2015

CLICK HERE - Questions and Answers:
CDC - Estimating the Future Number of Cases in the Ebola Epidemic - Liberia and Sierra Leone, 2014–2015

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